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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Zebra Technologies (ZBRA)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: FAIRLY PRICED

Forward P/E 18.32x is 1.12x the peer median of 16.31x — a small premium inside the 0.90–1.15 fairly priced band — and it is paid for by delivered growth: latest-quarter revenue grew +20.4% year over year (PRIMARY/EDGAR), matching its cluster. Trailing P/E 35.42x against forward 18.32x implies a large expected earnings step-up, and PEG 1.60 says the price is not cheap on growth-adjusted terms, which keeps it from an undervalued label. Delivered demand check: the cluster median grew +20.4% year over year — demand rising.

18.3×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
16.3×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
35.4×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
3.1×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Moves toward UNDERVALUED if the price falls enough to bring forward P/E to about 14.7x (0.90x the peer median) or below at unchanged estimates, or growth accelerates above +30% year over year at the current multiple. Moves toward OVERVALUED if forward P/E re-rates above about 18.8x (1.15x the peer median) or revenue growth slows below +5% year over year for two consecutive quarters.

In simple words

Zebra makes the scanners and handheld computers warehouses and shops use to track goods, and sales grew about 20%. Its shares cost about 18 times next year's expected profit, only slightly more than similar companies at about 16 times — a fair price for its growth.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA)S&P 500 (SPY)
571011451892332021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Zebra Technologies returned +32.91% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Zebra Technologies: -67.8% (2021-12-10 to 2023-11-01). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E 18.32x is 1.12x the peer median of 16.31x — a small premium inside the 0.90–1.15 fairly priced band — and it is paid for by delivered growth: latest-quarter revenue grew +20.4% year over year (PRIMARY/EDGAR), matching its cluster. Trailing P/E 35.42x against forward 18.32x implies a large expected earnings step-up, and PEG 1.60 says the price is not cheap on growth-adjusted terms, which keeps it from an undervalued label. Delivered demand check: the cluster median grew +20.4% year over year — demand rising. The company’s forward P/E is 18.3× against a peer median of 16.3×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Electronics, components & manufacturing group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 20.4% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +20.4% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA)$383.0218.3×35.4×
CDW$160.8514.1×19.3×
JBL$287.9116.3×29.5×
TDY$654.9927.9×30.0×
FLEX$87.4914.5×31.6×
ROP$434.4817.9×17.3×
Peer median16.3×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$1B$1B$2B0%32%64%Sep 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Jul 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-0B$0B$0BSep 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Jul 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Jul 2026
2026-07-04
$1.6B53.0%$233M4.85$198M
Q/E Apr 2026
2026-04-04
$1.5B49.6%$135M2.72$163M
Q/E Dec 2025
2025-12-31
$1.5B47.3%$70M—$327M
Q/E Sep 2025
2025-09-27
$1.3B48.0%$101M1.97$216M
Q/E Jun 2025
2025-06-28
$1.3B47.6%$112M2.19$130M
Q/E Mar 2025
2025-03-29
$1.3B49.3%$136M2.62$158M
Q/E Dec 2024
2024-12-31
$1.3B48.6%$163M—$288M
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-28
$1.3B48.8%$137M2.64$277M
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-29
$1.2B48.4%$113M2.17$278M
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-30
$1.2B47.9%$115M2.23$111M
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-31
$1.0B44.4%$17M—$102M
Q/E Sep 2023
2023-09-30
$956M44.7%$-15M-0.28$-49M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Oct 2022
3.26
Dec 2022
—
Apr 2023
2.90
Jul 2023
2.78
Sep 2023
-0.28
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
2.23
Jun 2024
2.17
Sep 2024
2.64
Dec 2024
—
Mar 2025
2.62
Jun 2025
2.19
Sep 2025
1.97
Dec 2025
—
Apr 2026
2.72
Jul 2026
4.85

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORP
Chief executiveBill Burns (source: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4909304-zebra-technologies-corporation-zbra-presents-at-bernstein-42nd-annual-strategic-decisions)
SectorTechnology — Electronic Equipment & Instruments — sells barcode scanners, mobile computers and RFID tracking for warehouses and retail
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$383.02
Market value (market cap)$18.1B — share price times shares outstanding of 47,310,660 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$5.8B
Net income, last twelve months$539M
Free cash flow, last twelve months$904M
Latest reported quarterQ/E Jul 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+32.91% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-67.8% (2021-12-10 to 2023-11-01)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000877212.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000877212.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/ZBRA/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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