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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Trimble (TRMB)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of the Oct 27, 2026 close · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: UNDERVALUED

Forward P/E is 16.34x against a peer median of 18.61x, a ratio of 0.88x — just below the 0.90 undervalued threshold — with revenue growth not collapsing: latest-quarter revenue grew +11.0% year over year (PRIMARY, SEC filings/EDGAR), against an application software cluster median of +14.9%. The case is the thinnest in this batch: the discount is only about 12%, PEG is 1.63, and trailing P/E is unavailable (recorded as null in the brief), so there is no trailing-earnings cross-check. The label follows the stated ratio-and-growth test, but with low conviction.

16.3×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
18.6×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
—
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
3.9×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Moves to FAIRLY PRICED if the forward P/E re-rates above about 16.7x (0.90x the current peer median) without growth improving, or if a trailing P/E becomes available and prints above 30x at this price; the undervalued case strengthens if revenue growth rises above +15% YoY while the forward P/E stays at or below 16.34x, and weakens toward OVERVALUED if growth turns negative while the forward P/E rises above about 21.4x (1.15x the peer median).

In simple words

Trimble's shares cost about 16 times next year's expected earnings, a little less than similar companies at about 19 times, and its sales grew about 11% in the latest quarter. That makes it mildly cheap on the headline measure. The evidence is thinner here than for most names, because past earnings per share were not available to double-check the price.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Trimble (TRMB)S&P 500 (SPY)
651071491902322021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Trimble returned +18.26% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Trimble: -57.4% (2021-08-30 to 2023-11-13). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 16.34x against a peer median of 18.61x, a ratio of 0.88x — just below the 0.90 undervalued threshold — with revenue growth not collapsing: latest-quarter revenue grew +11.0% year over year (PRIMARY, SEC filings/EDGAR), against an application software cluster median of +14.9%. The case is the thinnest in this batch: the discount is only about 12%, PEG is 1.63, and trailing P/E is unavailable (recorded as null in the brief), so there is no trailing-earnings cross-check. The label follows the stated ratio-and-growth test, but with low conviction. The company’s forward P/E is 16.3× against a peer median of 18.6×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Application software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 14.9% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +11.0% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 27, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Trimble (TRMB)$63.1616.3×—
FICO$702.4015.2×20.4×
TYL$378.6226.3×49.9×
PTC$194.6223.2×18.9×
ADSK$241.9118.6×31.4×
WDAY$205.4617.0×42.3×
Peer median18.6×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$0B$1B$1B0%43%86%Oct 2020Oct 2021Sep 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Oct 2025Jul 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-0B$0B$0BOct 2020Oct 2021Sep 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Oct 2025Jul 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Jul 2026
2026-07-03
$972M69.4%$-472M-2.02$233M
Q/E Apr 2026
2026-04-03
$940M68.8%$99M0.42$269M
Q/E Jan 2026
2026-01-02
$970M72.0%$157M—$155M
Q/E Oct 2025
2025-10-03
$901M68.9%$112M0.46$117M
Q/E Jul 2025
2025-07-04
$876M68.3%$89M0.37$-59M
Q/E Apr 2025
2025-04-04
$841M66.7%$67M0.27$149M
Q/E Jan 2025
2025-01-03
$983M69.3%$90M—$109M
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-27
$876M65.7%$41M0.16$88M
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-28
$871M62.7%$1.3B5.34$73M
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-29
$953M62.3%$57M0.23$227M
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-29
$932M61.9%$63M—$89M
Q/E Sep 2023
2023-09-29
$957M61.6%$75M0.30$134M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Sep 2022
0.34
Dec 2022
—
Mar 2023
0.52
Jun 2023
0.18
Sep 2023
0.30
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
0.23
Jun 2024
5.34
Sep 2024
0.16
Jan 2025
—
Apr 2025
0.27
Jul 2025
0.37
Oct 2025
0.46
Jan 2026
—
Apr 2026
0.42
Jul 2026
-2.02

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)TRIMBLE INC.
Chief executiveRob Painter (source: https://www.ttnews.com/articles/trimble-evaluating-sale-tech)
SectorTechnology — Application Software — sells positioning, surveying and workflow hardware and software for construction, agriculture and transport
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)$63.16
Market value (market cap)$14.7B — share price times shares outstanding of 233,179,848 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$3.8B
Net income, last twelve months$-105M
Free cash flow, last twelve months$773M
Latest reported quarterQ/E Jul 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+18.26% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-57.4% (2021-08-30 to 2023-11-13)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Brief fetch note: browser.open of the statistics page failed with a 429 rate-limit error; values were recorded from the stockanalysis.com Statistics & Valuation result returned by browser.search.
  • Brief fetch note: trailing P/E was shown as n/a on the statistics page and is recorded as null, so no trailing-earnings cross-check was available for this label.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000864749.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000864749.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/TRMB/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

Filed under: Stock X-Ray · Technology · TRMB