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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Consumer Staples · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1 pilot

Procter & Gamble (PG)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of the Oct 27, 2026 close · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: FAIRLY PRICED

Forward P/E 22.51x (SECONDARY, stockanalysis.com) vs peer median 23.58x and trailing P/E 23.99x vs a ~24.7x-25.3x 5-year average trailing P/E — mid-pack versus peers and at/below its own history. Not undervalued: PEG 4.84 on only +4.0% latest-quarter growth (3-year EPS forecast +4.10%, SECONDARY) is a full defensive premium; not overvalued, because the multiple is stretched versus neither peers nor history.

22.5×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
23.6×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
24.0×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
4.2×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Re-rate OVERVALUED if forward P/E expands above ~26x while revenue growth slows below 2% for two consecutive quarters; re-rate UNDERVALUED if it de-rates below ~18x forward with growth holding at >=3% and gross margin near 50%.

In simple words

Procter & Gamble trades at about 23 times next year's expected earnings, about the same as its rival group and about its usual price over the past five years. That looks fair: sales are growing only about 4%, so this is a full price for a very steady, defensive business, not a bargain. You are paying for reliability — strong brands, near-50% gross margins and steady cash flow — not for fast growth.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Procter & Gamble (PG)S&P 500 (SPY)
781161551932312021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Procter & Gamble returned +15.23% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Procter & Gamble: -24.6% (2022-01-05 to 2022-10-10). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E 22.51x (SECONDARY, stockanalysis.com) vs peer median 23.58x and trailing P/E 23.99x vs a ~24.7x-25.3x 5-year average trailing P/E — mid-pack versus peers and at/below its own history. Not undervalued: PEG 4.84 on only +4.0% latest-quarter growth (3-year EPS forecast +4.10%, SECONDARY) is a full defensive premium; not overvalued, because the multiple is stretched versus neither peers nor history. The company’s forward P/E is 22.5× against a peer median of 23.6×. Its own history: Trailing P/E 23.99x vs 5-year average trailing P/E ~24.7x-25.3x (FinanceCharts ~24.71x / Public.com 25.31x, SECONDARY); annual period-end P/E ranged 21.72x-26.69x over FY2022-FY2026 (FullRatio/Wisesheets, SECONDARY) — current multiple slightly below own 5-year average.. Sector demand read: Staple demand slow but steady and defensive: revenue +4.0% YoY at 49.8% gross margin, $15.3B TTM FCF, shallowest 6-year drawdown in the pilot (-24.6%) — no acceleration evidenced or required by the price. Latest-quarter sales growth was +4.0% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 27, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Procter & Gamble (PG)$159.2322.5×24.0×
PEP$133.5015.8×16.8×
KO$91.1826.3×26.9×
CL$92.1723.6×36.4×
KMB$109.1015.5×18.6×
CHD$105.0126.8×33.7×
Peer median23.6×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$9B$17B$26B0%32%64%Sep 2020Sep 2021Sep 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Sep 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings. Gross profit basis: tagged GrossProfit where present; otherwise computed as revenue minus CostOfGoodsAndServicesSold (both EDGAR-tagged; the filer retired the GrossProfit tag mid-window).

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-5B$0B$5BSep 2020Sep 2021Sep 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Sep 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Sep 2026
2026-09-30
$23.3B49.8%$4.7B1.97$4.4B
Q/E Jun 2026
2026-06-30
$21.2B48.5%$3.0B—$4.1B
Q/E Mar 2026
2026-03-31
$21.2B49.5%$3.9B1.63$3.0B
Q/E Dec 2025
2025-12-31
$22.2B51.2%$4.3B1.78$3.8B
Q/E Sep 2025
2025-09-30
$22.4B51.4%$4.8B1.95$4.2B
Q/E Jun 2025
2025-06-30
$20.9B49.1%$3.6B—$4.0B
Q/E Mar 2025
2025-03-31
$19.8B51.0%$3.8B1.54$2.8B
Q/E Dec 2024
2024-12-31
$21.9B52.4%$4.6B1.88$3.9B
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-30
$21.7B52.1%$4.0B1.61$3.3B
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-30
$20.5B49.6%$3.1B—$5.0B
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-31
$20.2B51.2%$3.8B1.52$3.3B
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-31
$21.4B52.7%$3.5B1.40$4.3B

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 25-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Dec 2022
1.59
Mar 2023
1.37
Jun 2023
—
Sep 2023
1.83
Dec 2023
1.40
Mar 2024
1.52
Jun 2024
—
Sep 2024
1.61
Dec 2024
1.88
Mar 2025
1.54
Jun 2025
—
Sep 2025
1.95
Dec 2025
1.78
Mar 2026
1.63
Jun 2026
—
Sep 2026
1.97

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)PROCTER & GAMBLE Co
Chief executiveShailesh Jejurikar (source: P&G succession announcement (July 2025) — Shailesh Jejurikar, previously COO, succeeded Jon R. Moeller as President and CEO effective Jan 1, 2026 (Moeller became Executive Chairman), as reported by PTI/company statement and BBN Times/Beauty Packaging profiles; Jejurikar also became Chairman effective Aug 1, 2026 — fetched Oct 28, 2026)
SectorConsumer Staples — Consumer staples — household & personal products
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)$159.23
Market value (market cap)$369.1B — share price times shares outstanding of 2,317,783,143 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$87.9B
Net income, last twelve months$16.0B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$15.3B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Sep 2026 (of 25 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+15.23% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-24.6% (2022-01-05 to 2022-10-10)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS from EDGAR — standalone Q4 EPS is not tagged, so trailing P/E (23.99x) is the stockanalysis.com SECONDARY figure, not a primary computation
  • Own-history forward P/E range on a single consistent basis — stockanalysis.com ratios page publishes no P/E history series; own-history context uses trailing-P/E averages from FinanceCharts/Public.com/FullRatio (SECONDARY), stated as a ~24.7x-25.3x range because methodologies differ
  • PG gross profit is computed as revenue minus cost of products sold (both EDGAR-tagged; PG does not tag GrossProfit itself) — basis recorded in financials_quarterly.json
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000080424.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000080424.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/PG/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

Filed under: Stock X-Ray · Consumer Staples · PG