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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of the Oct 27, 2026 close · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: UNDERVALUED

Forward P/E is 14.4x against a peer median of 19.42x, a ratio of 0.74x — well below the 0.90 undervalued threshold — and it is the second-lowest forward P/E in its peer set, with trailing P/E 19.95x and PEG 0.76. Latest-quarter revenue grew +19.3% year over year (PRIMARY, SEC filings/EDGAR), solid rather than collapsing, even though it trails the semiconductor cluster median of +36.5%. A clear peer discount with growth intact and PEG below 1 clears the undervalued test.

14.4×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
19.4×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
19.9×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
4.6×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Moves to FAIRLY PRICED if the forward P/E re-rates above about 17.5x (0.90x the current peer median) without growth accelerating, or if revenue growth slows below +8% YoY at an unchanged multiple; moves toward OVERVALUED if the forward P/E rises above about 22.3x (1.15x the peer median) while growth falls below the cluster median.

In simple words

NXP's shares cost about 14 times next year's expected earnings, well below similar chip companies at about 19 times, while its sales grew about 19% in the latest quarter. That is a real discount for a business that is still growing at a healthy pace. On these numbers the shares look undervalued.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)S&P 500 (SPY)
791271752242722021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window NXP Semiconductors returned +97.74% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for NXP Semiconductors: -47.2% (2024-07-16 to 2025-04-08). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 14.4x against a peer median of 19.42x, a ratio of 0.74x — well below the 0.90 undervalued threshold — and it is the second-lowest forward P/E in its peer set, with trailing P/E 19.95x and PEG 0.76. Latest-quarter revenue grew +19.3% year over year (PRIMARY, SEC filings/EDGAR), solid rather than collapsing, even though it trails the semiconductor cluster median of +36.5%. A clear peer discount with growth intact and PEG below 1 clears the undervalued test. The company’s forward P/E is 14.4× against a peer median of 19.4×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Semiconductors group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 36.5% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +19.3% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 27, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)$253.5014.4×19.9×
MPWR$1,211.8937.5×73.9×
MCHP$78.4820.1×115.7×
ON$75.7019.4×48.5×
FSLR$171.628.1×10.6×
SWKS$86.3815.6×44.6×
Peer median19.4×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$1B$3B$4B0%35%69%Sep 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Sep 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-1B$0B$1BSep 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Sep 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Sep 2026
2026-09-27
$3.8B57.8%$884M3.48$1.2B
Q/E Jun 2026
2026-06-28
$3.5B57.3%$767M3.02$791M
Q/E Mar 2026
2026-03-29
$3.2B56.2%$1.1B4.43$714M
Q/E Dec 2025
2025-12-31
$3.3B54.2%$455M—$793M
Q/E Sep 2025
2025-09-28
$3.2B56.3%$631M2.48$508M
Q/E Jun 2025
2025-06-29
$2.9B53.4%$445M1.75$696M
Q/E Mar 2025
2025-03-30
$2.8B55.0%$490M1.92$426M
Q/E Dec 2024
2024-12-31
$3.1B53.9%$495M—$261M
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-29
$3.2B57.4%$718M2.79$593M
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-30
$3.1B57.3%$658M2.54$576M
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-31
$3.1B57.0%$639M2.47$625M
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-31
$3.4B56.6%$697M—$962M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 25-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Dec 2022
—
Apr 2023
2.35
Jul 2023
2.67
Oct 2023
3.01
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
2.47
Jun 2024
2.54
Sep 2024
2.79
Dec 2024
—
Mar 2025
1.92
Jun 2025
1.75
Sep 2025
2.48
Dec 2025
—
Mar 2026
4.43
Jun 2026
3.02
Sep 2026
3.48

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)NXP Semiconductors N.V.
Chief executiveRafael Sotomayor (source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nxpi/company/)
SectorTechnology — Semiconductors — sells semiconductors for automotive, industrial, mobile and communications markets
Share price (Oct 27, 2026)$253.50
Market value (market cap)$63.9B — share price times shares outstanding of 252,052,988 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$13.8B
Net income, last twelve months$3.2B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$3.5B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Sep 2026 (of 25 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+97.74% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-47.2% (2024-07-16 to 2025-04-08)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Brief fetch note: browser.open of the statistics page failed with a 429 rate-limit error; values were recorded from the stockanalysis.com Statistics & Valuation result returned by browser.search.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001413447.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001413447.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/NXPI/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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