Strativest CapitalSTRATIVEST RESEARCH
Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Consumer Discretionary · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

AutoZone (AZO)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: UNDERVALUED

Forward P/E is 18.47x against a peer median of 25.66x, a ratio of 0.72x — below the fair range — with trailing P/E 20.59x and PEG 1.41. Latest-quarter revenue grew 5.6% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), still growing, so the value-trap check is not triggered. Delivered demand check: the retail — broadline & specialty group's median growth was 8.1% year over year — demand rising, while this company grew more slowly at 5.6%.

18.5×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
25.7×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
20.6×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
2.5×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Move to FAIRLY PRICED if the forward P/E rises to about 23.09x or above (0.90x the peer median) at unchanged estimates, or if revenue growth falls below 0% year over year for two quarters. Move to OVERVALUED if the forward P/E rises above about 29.51x (1.15x the peer median) without a matching upgrade to growth.

In simple words

AutoZone sells car parts and accessories. Its shares trade at about 18 times expected earnings, well below similar companies at about 26 times, while its sales grew 5.6%. That discount is wider than its slower growth seems to justify, so the shares look undervalued.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
The share price vs the market — six years
AutoZone (AZO)S&P 500 (SPY)
701462232993762021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window AutoZone returned +157.12% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for AutoZone: -35.9% (2025-09-11 to 2026-10-02). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 18.47x against a peer median of 25.66x, a ratio of 0.72x — below the fair range — with trailing P/E 20.59x and PEG 1.41. Latest-quarter revenue grew 5.6% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), still growing, so the value-trap check is not triggered. Delivered demand check: the retail — broadline & specialty group's median growth was 8.1% year over year — demand rising, while this company grew more slowly at 5.6%. The company’s forward P/E is 18.5× against a peer median of 25.7×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Retail — broadline & specialty group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 8.1% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. AutoZone grew 5.6%, slower than the group median but still growing. Latest-quarter sales growth was +5.6% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
AutoZone (AZO)$3,141.5618.5×20.6×
EBAY—18.6×24.0×
CVNA—29.2×32.8×
WSM—25.1×25.5×
ORLY—25.7×28.2×
ROST—26.7×27.6×
Peer median25.7×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$2B$5B$7B0%32%65%Nov 2020Nov 2021Nov 2022Nov 2023Nov 2024Nov 2025Aug 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-1B$0B$1BNov 2020Nov 2021Nov 2022Nov 2023Nov 2024Nov 2025Aug 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Aug 2026
2026-08-29
$6.6B53.3%$932M—$693M
Q/E May 2026
2026-05-09
$4.8B52.1%$641M38.07$456M
Q/E Feb 2026
2026-02-14
$4.3B52.5%$469M27.63$36M
Q/E Nov 2025
2025-11-22
$4.6B51.0%$531M31.04$630M
Q/E Aug 2025
2025-08-30
$6.2B51.5%$837M—$511M
Q/E May 2025
2025-05-10
$4.5B52.7%$608M35.36$423M
Q/E Feb 2025
2025-02-15
$4.0B53.9%$488M28.29$291M
Q/E Nov 2024
2024-11-23
$4.3B53.0%$565M32.52$565M
Q/E Aug 2024
2024-08-31
$6.2B52.5%$902M—$723M
Q/E May 2024
2024-05-04
$4.2B53.5%$652M36.69$434M
Q/E Feb 2024
2024-02-10
$3.9B53.9%$515M28.89$179M
Q/E Nov 2023
2023-11-18
$4.2B52.8%$593M32.55$595M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Nov 2022
27.45
Feb 2023
24.64
May 2023
34.12
Aug 2023
—
Nov 2023
32.55
Feb 2024
28.89
May 2024
36.69
Aug 2024
—
Nov 2024
32.52
Feb 2025
28.29
May 2025
35.36
Aug 2025
—
Nov 2025
31.04
Feb 2026
27.63
May 2026
38.07
Aug 2026
—

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)AUTOZONE INC
Chief executivePhilip B. Daniele (source: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autozone#2020s)
SectorConsumer Discretionary — Automotive Retail — sells car parts and accessories through AutoZone stores
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$3,141.56
Market value (market cap)$50.6B — share price times shares outstanding of 16,094,341 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$20.3B
Net income, last twelve months$2.6B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$1.8B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Aug 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+157.12% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-35.9% (2025-09-11 to 2026-10-02)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000866787.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000866787.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/AZO/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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