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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Autodesk (ADSK)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: FAIRLY PRICED

Forward P/E is 18.61x against a peer median of 17.03x, a ratio of 1.09x — inside the fairly priced band — with trailing P/E 31.35x and PEG 1.15. Latest-quarter revenue grew +16.1% year over year (PRIMARY, SEC filings/EDGAR), close to the application software cluster median of +14.9%. That delivered mid-teens growth supports the small premium, but does not make the shares cheap.

18.6×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
17.0×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
31.4×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
6.5×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Moves to UNDERVALUED if the forward P/E falls to about 15.3x or below (0.90x the current peer median) while revenue growth holds at +12% YoY or better; moves to OVERVALUED if the forward P/E rises above about 19.6x (1.15x the peer median) while revenue growth slows below +10% YoY.

In simple words

Autodesk's shares cost about 19 times next year's expected earnings, only a little more than similar software companies at about 17 times. Sales grew about 16% in the latest quarter, which is solid enough to support that price. It looks like a fair price — not a bargain, and not overpriced.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Autodesk (ADSK)S&P 500 (SPY)
53981431882332021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Autodesk returned -4.50% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Autodesk: -52.0% (2021-08-25 to 2022-06-16). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 18.61x against a peer median of 17.03x, a ratio of 1.09x — inside the fairly priced band — with trailing P/E 31.35x and PEG 1.15. Latest-quarter revenue grew +16.1% year over year (PRIMARY, SEC filings/EDGAR), close to the application software cluster median of +14.9%. That delivered mid-teens growth supports the small premium, but does not make the shares cheap. The company’s forward P/E is 18.6× against a peer median of 17.0×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Application software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 14.9% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +16.1% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Autodesk (ADSK)$241.9118.6×31.4×
WDAY$205.4617.0×42.3×
PTC$194.6223.2×18.9×
TYL$378.6226.3×49.9×
FICO$702.4015.2×20.4×
TRMB$63.1616.3×—
Peer median17.0×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$1B$2B$2B0%55%110%Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Jul 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-1B$0B$1BOct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Jul 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Jul 2026
2026-07-31
$2.0B91.4%$492M2.33$561M
Q/E Apr 2026
2026-04-30
$1.9B91.0%$491M2.32$876M
Q/E Jan 2026
2026-01-31
$2.0B91.5%$316M—$972M
Q/E Oct 2025
2025-10-31
$1.9B91.1%$343M1.60$430M
Q/E Jul 2025
2025-07-31
$1.8B91.0%$313M1.46$451M
Q/E Apr 2025
2025-04-30
$1.6B90.2%$152M0.70$556M
Q/E Jan 2025
2025-01-31
$1.6B90.6%$303M—$678M
Q/E Oct 2024
2024-10-31
$1.6B90.6%$275M1.27$199M
Q/E Jul 2024
2024-07-31
$1.5B90.7%$282M1.30$203M
Q/E Apr 2024
2024-04-30
$1.4B90.3%$252M1.16$487M
Q/E Jan 2024
2024-01-31
$1.5B91.2%$282M—$427M
Q/E Oct 2023
2023-10-31
$1.4B91.0%$241M1.12$13M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Oct 2022
0.91
Jan 2023
—
Apr 2023
0.75
Jul 2023
1.03
Oct 2023
1.12
Jan 2024
—
Apr 2024
1.16
Jul 2024
1.30
Oct 2024
1.27
Jan 2025
—
Apr 2025
0.70
Jul 2025
1.46
Oct 2025
1.60
Jan 2026
—
Apr 2026
2.32
Jul 2026
2.33

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)Autodesk, Inc.
Chief executiveAndrew Anagnost (source: https://www.autodesk.com/company/newsroom/corporate-info/executive-bios/andrew-anagnost)
SectorTechnology — Application Software — sells design, engineering and media creation software
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$241.91
Market value (market cap)$50.6B — share price times shares outstanding of 209,000,000 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$7.8B
Net income, last twelve months$1.6B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$2.8B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Jul 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500-4.50% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-52.0% (2021-08-25 to 2022-06-16)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000769397.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000769397.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/ADSK/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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