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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Adobe (ADBE)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: UNDERVALUED

Forward P/E is 9.24x against a peer median of 26.86x, a ratio of just 0.34x — Adobe is the cheapest name in its peer set by a wide margin, on a trailing P/E of only 13.85x and a PEG of 0.66. Latest-quarter revenue grew 12.9% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), so growth is positive and not collapsing while the multiple prices in decline. Delivered demand check: the Application software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 14.9% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. On peer-median, growth and PEG evidence together, the discount is far larger than the delivered numbers justify.

9.2×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
26.9×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
13.8×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
3.7×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Moves toward FAIRLY PRICED or OVERVALUED if revenue growth falls below +5% year over year for two consecutive quarters, or if forward earnings estimates are cut enough to lift the forward P/E above ~14x without a price fall. The UNDERVALUED case strengthens if growth holds at or above ~13% while the forward P/E stays below 12x, or weakens to a value-trap warning if growth turns negative.

In simple words

Adobe's shares cost about 9 times the profit expected next year, while similar software companies cost about 27 times — yet Adobe is still growing sales at about 13% a year. That is a very large discount for a profitable, still-growing business. On the numbers in this snapshot, the shares look cheap rather than fairly priced.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Adobe (ADBE)S&P 500 (SPY)
23761291822352021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Adobe returned -52.96% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Adobe: -71.9% (2021-11-19 to 2026-06-25). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 9.24x against a peer median of 26.86x, a ratio of just 0.34x — Adobe is the cheapest name in its peer set by a wide margin, on a trailing P/E of only 13.85x and a PEG of 0.66. Latest-quarter revenue grew 12.9% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), so growth is positive and not collapsing while the multiple prices in decline. Delivered demand check: the Application software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 14.9% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. On peer-median, growth and PEG evidence together, the discount is far larger than the delivered numbers justify. The company’s forward P/E is 9.2× against a peer median of 26.9×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Application software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 14.9% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +12.9% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Adobe (ADBE)$248.099.2×13.8×
CDNS$336.9235.8×67.0×
SNPS$474.4226.9×84.1×
DDOG$280.37105.7×571.6×
INTU$328.0713.8×19.9×
WDAY$205.4617.0×42.3×
Peer median26.9×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$3B$5B$8B0%54%108%Nov 2020Dec 2021Dec 2022Dec 2023Nov 2024Nov 2025Aug 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-3B$0B$3BNov 2020Dec 2021Dec 2022Dec 2023Nov 2024Nov 2025Aug 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Aug 2026
2026-08-28
$6.8B88.7%$1.8B4.62$2.4B
Q/E May 2026
2026-05-29
$6.6B89.2%$1.7B4.25$2.1B
Q/E Feb 2026
2026-02-27
$6.4B89.6%$1.9B4.60$2.9B
Q/E Nov 2025
2025-11-28
$6.2B89.5%$1.9B—$3.1B
Q/E Aug 2025
2025-08-29
$6.0B89.3%$1.8B4.18$2.1B
Q/E May 2025
2025-05-30
$5.9B89.1%$1.7B3.94$2.1B
Q/E Feb 2025
2025-02-28
$5.7B89.1%$1.8B4.14$2.5B
Q/E Nov 2024
2024-11-29
$5.6B89.0%$1.7B—$2.9B
Q/E Aug 2024
2024-08-30
$5.4B89.8%$1.7B3.76$2.0B
Q/E May 2024
2024-05-31
$5.3B88.7%$1.6B3.49$1.9B
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-01
$5.2B88.6%$620M1.36$1.1B
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-01
$5.0B87.4%$1.5B—$1.6B

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Dec 2022
—
Mar 2023
2.71
Jun 2023
2.82
Sep 2023
3.05
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
1.36
May 2024
3.49
Aug 2024
3.76
Nov 2024
—
Feb 2025
4.14
May 2025
3.94
Aug 2025
4.18
Nov 2025
—
Feb 2026
4.60
May 2026
4.25
Aug 2026
4.62

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)ADOBE INC.
Chief executiveShantanu Narayen (source: https://news.adobe.com/news/2026/09/adobe-announces-anil-chakravarthy-to-become-president-and-ceo)
SectorTechnology — Application Software — sells creative-design, document and digital-experience software, largely by subscription
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$248.09
Market value (market cap)$96.7B — share price times shares outstanding of 389,200,000 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$26.0B
Net income, last twelve months$7.3B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$10.6B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Aug 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500-52.96% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-71.9% (2021-11-19 to 2026-06-25)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Adobe announced Anil Chakravarthy will become President and CEO effective December 1, 2026, with Shantanu Narayen transitioning to Executive Chair then; Narayen is therefore the current CEO as of 2026-10-28.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000796343.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000796343.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/ADBE/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

Filed under: Stock X-Ray · Technology · ADBE